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Oliver Wyman Airline Economic Analysis Q2 2026

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Oliver Wyman Airline Economic Analysis (AEA), State of the Industry: Q2 2026 edition. A 56-page published consulting report deck by Oliver Wyman (a Marsh business) reviewing second-quarter 2026 global airline financial results, with a special-topic US Carrier Annual Financial Review of 2025 DOT Form 41 data, regional deep dives (North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia/Pacific, Africa/Middle East/India) and a carrier-by-carrier appendix.

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Topik Utama

Oliver Wyman Airline Economic Analysis (AEA), State of the Industry: Q2 2026 edition. A 56-page published consulting report deck by Oliver Wyman (a Marsh business) reviewing second-quarter 2026 global airline financial results, with a special-topic US Carrier Annual Financial Review of 2025 DOT Form 41 data, regional deep dives (North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia/Pacific, Africa/Middle East/India) and a carrier-by-carrier appendix.

Manfaat Utama

  • •Real numbers from a quarterly industry benchmark: the global airline index posted a 4.1% Q2 2026 operating margin on 3.3% capacity growth, with revenue up 11.7% but expenses up 19.1%
  • •Shows the fuel shock in one view: jet fuel averaged $3.04 per gallon in Q2 2026 versus $2.09 a year earlier (+45%), pushing global CASM up 15.4% against 8.2% RASM growth
  • •A clean example of consulting slide craft: every content page pairs a descriptive title with an italic action subtitle that states the takeaway, a left-hand bullet summary and right-hand charts
  • •Repeatable regional module (financial results summary, results by business model, production review) that is easy to copy for any multi-segment performance review
  • •Dense but readable data layouts: world-map margin callouts, bubble charts, paired before/after bar charts with positive/negative impact colouring, stacked cost-driver bars and carrier league tables

Target Audiens

  • •Airline, airport and aviation finance professionals tracking quarterly industry economics
  • •Management consultants and analysts building industry benchmark or quarterly review decks
  • •Investors and equity researchers covering airline stocks
  • •Strategy and FP&A teams who need a model for unit-economics (RASM/CASM) reporting
  • •Students and presentation designers studying consulting-style chart-heavy slides

Kasus Penggunaan

  • •Reference for Q2 2026 airline margins, unit revenue and unit cost by region and business model
  • •Template for a quarterly industry or portfolio performance review with a fixed section structure
  • •Example of action titles and executive-summary KPI tiles for consulting decks
  • •Benchmark data for full-service vs. low-cost vs. ultra-low-cost carrier economics in the US
  • •Inspiration for presenting before/after comparisons, capacity drivers and peer league tables

Proposisi Nilai Unik

  • •First-hand published research deck from Oliver Wyman, which has produced the Airline Economic Analysis for about 15 years and has moved it to a quarterly, global, slideshow-style format
  • •Combines a quarterly global index with an annual US carrier deep dive in one deck
  • •Consistent visual grammar across 56 pages: light-blue section dividers with large numerals, navy serif titles, italic takeaway subtitles and sourced footnotes on every chart
  • •Carrier-level appendix tables covering 33 index airlines across five regions

Halaman Slide (56)

Tampilan detail setiap halaman slide, termasuk tata letak, konten utama dan elemen visual.

Halaman 1
Title slide

Airline economic analysis: State of the industry Q2 2026

Konten

Cover page with the Oliver Wyman (A Marsh Business) logo, the title 'Airline economic analysis' and the subtitle 'State of the industry: Q2 2026'.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue background, logo top-left, large serif title above a full-width photo band; edition label right-aligned in bold italic.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Oliver Wyman logo
  • •Large serif title
  • •Photo of an aircraft overhead through tree branches
Halaman 2
Agenda

Table of contents

Konten

Five sections: 01 Introduction (p.3), 02 Global overview (p.7), 03 Special topic: US Carrier Annual Financial Review (p.12), 04 Airline performance by region (p.15) covering North America (US/Canada), Latin America, Europe, Asia/Pacific and Africa/Middle East/India, and 05 Appendix (p.34). Page references in the contents do not match the final page numbering of the deck.

Struktur Tata Letak

Oversized serif 'Table of contents' on the left, ruled numbered list with page numbers on the right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Numbered section list
  • •Horizontal rules
  • •Indented regional sub-items
Halaman 3
Executive summary

Exec Summary

Konten

Global airlines showed resilience in Q2 2026 despite a sharp fuel-cost increase and geopolitical uncertainty: worldwide capacity +3.3%, global operating margin ~4.1%, industry revenue +11.7%, industry expense +19.1%. Q2 marked a pivot from growth to shock management as Middle East conflict disrupted Gulf hubs and airspace and the jet-fuel shock reset 2026 economics. European and Asian carriers with direct long-haul options benefited from displaced connecting demand; priorities are schedule reliability, redeploying capacity to durable origin-and-destination demand, and flexible rebooking. Closing question: can carriers adapt as both the economics of flying and the geography of connecting traffic are reshaped.

Struktur Tata Letak

Three columns: shaded KPI panel with four big-number tiles, a narrative text column with bolded key phrases, and a traveller photo; full-width pull quote with a yellow accent bar at the bottom.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Four KPI tiles (+3.3%, ~4.1%, +11.7%, +19.1%)
  • •Bold-highlighted narrative
  • •Airport traveller photo
  • •Pull quote with accent rule
Halaman 4
Methodology

Notes on approach and methodology

Konten

Each region is presented in three sections: 1) financial results summary (operating revenue, expense, earnings, margin, ASMs, RASM, CASM), 2) results by business model (full-service vs. lower-cost, including ultra-low-cost and value), 3) production review (ASMs, gauge, stage, fleet, utilization). Scope is an index of select carriers per region; Africa/Middle East/India lacks enough data for a comparable index. Data come from CapIQ, carrier earnings releases, OAG, Oxford Economics, the US EIA, and OAG/AWIN for capacity.

Struktur Tata Letak

Matrix table: three column headers (the three sections) by three row labels (What we report, Scope of reporting, Where we get data) with bullets in each cell; footnote on index construction.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •3x3 text matrix
  • •Bold italic headers
  • •Footnote
Halaman 5
Overview / key metrics

Foreword: Second quarter 2026 industry review

Konten

Worldwide real GDP grew 3.2% YoY; geopolitical events kept fuel elevated, driving a 15.4% CASM increase; the index grew capacity 3.3%, revenue 11.7% and earned a 4.1% operating margin; RASM grew 8.2% vs. CASM 15.4%. Map shows operating margins: North America 3.8%, Latin America 2.2%, Europe 5.7%, Asia/Pacific 5.1%, World 4.1% (Africa/Middle East insufficient data). Table of YoY RASM/CASM/margin change: North America 12.0%/18.5%/-5.21 pts; Europe -0.7%/4.3%/-4.56; Latin America 14.4%/26.4%/-9.28; Asia/Pacific 7.4%/15.0%/-6.26; World 8.2%/15.4%/-5.97.

Struktur Tata Letak

Left bullet column; right side stacks a world map with margin callout boxes over a ruled data table.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •World map with margin labels
  • •Regional YoY table
  • •Bulleted foreword
Halaman 6
Section divider

Section divider: 02 Global overview

Konten

Section break introducing the Global overview chapter.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue full-bleed slide, serif section title top-left, oversized numeral '02' bottom-right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Large section numeral
  • •Serif title
Halaman 7
Data visualization / dashboard

Industry financial results: Global airline index

Konten

Action subtitle: 4.1% margin on 3.3% capacity growth; positive, single-digit margins across regions. Margin was up 2.1 points from the prior quarter but down 6.0 points from Q2 2025; expenses grew faster than revenue (+19.1% vs +11.7%). YoY capacity change: Latin America and Caribbean 5.9, Asia/Pacific 4.7, US and Canada 3.8, World 3.3, Europe 3.2. Revenue/expense growth: North America 16.3%/23.0%, Europe 2.5%/7.7%, Latin America 21.2%/33.9%, Asia/Pacific 12.5%/20.4%, World 11.7%/19.1%. Latin America had the highest capacity growth but lowest margin (2.2%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Left column of 'Summary of Q2 results' and 'Q2 in context' bullets; right side has a margin world map, a horizontal capacity bar chart and a YoY metrics table.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •World map margin callouts
  • •Horizontal bar chart with World highlighted in navy
  • •Six-column financial table
Halaman 8
Data visualization / comparison

Industry unit economic drivers: Global airline index

Konten

Action subtitle: CASM growth outpaced RASM growth across all regions; Europe was the sole region with RASM decline YoY. Two bubble charts plot RASM growth and CASM growth (YoY %, y-axis 0-40) against capacity growth (x-axis 2-7%), bubble size showing capacity, for North America, Europe, Latin America, Asia/Pacific and World, with a reference line separating growth from decline.

Struktur Tata Letak

Two side-by-side bubble charts with matching axes and annotated growth/decline zones.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Twin bubble charts
  • •Grey/blue bubbles sized by capacity
  • •Diagonal reference line
Halaman 9
Data visualization / macro context

Macroeconomic indicators: Worldwide

Konten

Action subtitle: continued growth in personal spending, income and airline revenue despite sharply higher fuel costs. Global GDP grew 3.2% while airline revenue grew 11.7-11.8%; fuel was 45% higher than Q2 2025 ($3.04 vs $2.09 per gallon). Airline revenue vs GDP: North America 16.3 vs 1.8, Europe 2.5 vs 1.9, Latin America 21.2 vs 2.4, Asia/Pacific 12.5 vs 3.3, Africa/ME/India 7.0 vs 5.2, World 11.7 vs 3.2. Spending vs disposable income: North America 5.6/4.1, Europe 7.6/6.3, Latin America 13.8/16.2, Asia/Pacific 7.5/7.8, Africa/ME/India 6.7/6.7, World 7.3/6.8.

Struktur Tata Letak

Left text summary; right stack of two clustered bar charts and a fuel-price line chart from Jan 2021 to Jul 2026 with a bracket annotation.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Clustered bar charts
  • •Fuel price line chart with +45% bracket
  • •Navy and light-blue palette
Halaman 10
Data visualization / league table

Global operating margins by airline

Konten

Action subtitle: global margin at 4.1%, regional margins lower than prior quarters, Europe highest at ~6%. Q2 2026 margins: North America 4% (Allegiant 9%, Delta 8%, United 6%, Southwest 3%, American 3%, Alaska -3%, Air Canada -3%, JetBlue -5%, Frontier -9%); LATAM 2% (Copa 9%, LATAM 5%, Aeromexico 4%, Azul -9%, Volaris -12%); Europe 6% (IAG 16%, Ryanair 13%, Finnair 9%, Air France-KLM 5%, easyJet 4%, Lufthansa -2%, Norwegian -5%, Wizz Air -12%); Asia/Pacific 5% (Cathay Pacific 10%, EVA 8%, Thai 5%, ANA 3%, JAL 2%, Vietnam Airlines -2%); IMEA 0% (El Al 13%, Air Arabia 3%, IndiGo 2%, Turkish -3%, Pegasus -5%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Single wide column chart split into five regional panels by vertical rules, airline names rotated below; network vs value/LCC carriers colour-coded.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Panelled column chart
  • •Axis-break marks for large negatives
  • •Two-colour carrier-type legend
Halaman 11
Section divider

Section divider: 03 Special topic - US Carrier Annual Financial Review

Konten

Section break introducing the US Carrier Annual Financial Review special topic.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with serif title, italic subtitle and oversized numeral '03'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Large section numeral
  • •Italic subtitle
Halaman 12
Narrative summary

US industry economics deep dive: 2025 By The Numbers

Konten

2025 recap based on US DOT Form 41: full-service carriers led profitability, with Delta and United at 9% and 8% margins and American at 2.8%; Alaska and Southwest had modest profits while JetBlue and Hawaiian lost money; among ULCCs Sun Country and Allegiant were profitable, Spirit and Frontier were not, and Spirit was 34% of ULCC revenue. Lower-cost carriers grew ancillary revenue 18%. FSC capacity grew 3.4%; LCCs lost their labor-cost advantage, with both groups at 6.5 cents labor cost per ASM; fuel cost per ASM fell 9-10% for all groups; ex-fuel CASM rose 2.6% (FSC), 4.6% (LCC) and 6.3% (ULCC). The page notes Middle East unrest drove fuel sharply higher in the first half of 2026.

Struktur Tata Letak

Two narrative text columns with a carrier-group definitions block, plus an aerial photo of an aircraft at the gate on the right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Two-column prose
  • •Group definitions (FSC, LCC, ULCC)
  • •Aerial apron photo
Halaman 13
Data visualization / financial breakdown

Sources of operating revenue | Full-service carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: cargo/transport outpaced slower passenger revenue growth. 2025 FSC revenue was $177.3B (+2.4%) on 3.4% ASM growth: passenger $127.4B (+1.2%, 71.9%), cargo $3.5B (+4.4%, 2.0%), transport $32.1B (+7.3%, 18.1%), other $14.3B (+2.3%, 8.1%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Stacked area chart of quarterly revenue by source 2022-2025 on the left, revenue table beneath, summary text column on the right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Stacked area chart
  • •Revenue-by-source table
  • •Bold-lead summary bullets
Halaman 14
Data visualization / trend

Unit revenue and load factor | Full-service carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: domestic load factor down 2.2 points over 2024. FSC domestic RASM fell 2.4% in 2025 (stage length +1.3%) and international RASM fell 1.2% (stage -2.1%); domestic load factor dropped to 83.5% and international rose 0.2 points to 83.1%. Transport revenue is excluded from unit metrics.

Struktur Tata Letak

Two stacked line charts (RASM in cents, load factor in %) by quarter 2022-2025 with direct line labels; summary column on the right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Dual line charts
  • •Axis breaks
  • •Domestic vs international labels
Halaman 15
Data visualization / financial breakdown

Sources of operating revenue | Lower-cost carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: ancillary revenue (other) grows 18%. LCC revenue was $51.3B (+1.6%) on 0.9% capacity growth: passenger $41.8B (-0.4%, 81.3%), cargo $0.4B (+2.1%, 0.8%), transport $3.4B (+2.6%, 6.7%), other $5.7B (+18.2%, 11.1%). The table header reads '2024 operating revenue by source' while the row is labelled 2025.

Struktur Tata Letak

Stacked area chart, revenue table and right-hand summary, mirroring the FSC page.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Stacked area chart
  • •Revenue table
  • •Summary bullets
Halaman 16
Data visualization / trend

Unit revenue and load factor | Lower-cost carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: domestic load factor below 80% during 2025. LCC domestic RASM rose 0.7% (stage +1.8%) and international RASM rose 0.2% (stage +0.4%); both declined in Q3 2025. Domestic load factor fell 2.2 points to 79.7%, the lowest annual average since the pandemic; international fell 0.8 points to 80.9%.

Struktur Tata Letak

RASM and load-factor line charts stacked on the left with summary bullets on the right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Line charts by quarter
  • •Direct labels
  • •Footnote on transport revenue
Halaman 17
Data visualization / financial breakdown

Sources of operating revenue | Ultra-low-cost carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: Spirit's struggles dragged group down. ULCC revenue fell 8.3% to $11.2B on 9.2% lower capacity: passenger $6.7B (-7.5%, 60.2%), cargo $0.2B (+41.4%, 1.4%), transport $0.3B (-1.1%, 2.6%), other $4.0B (-11.2%, 35.8%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Stacked area chart, revenue table and summary column, matching the other carrier-group pages.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Stacked area chart
  • •Revenue table
  • •Summary bullets
Halaman 18
Data visualization / trend

Unit revenue and load factor | Ultra-low-cost carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: RASM continued recent decline trend, until fourth quarter. ULCC domestic RASM rose 0.7% to 10.2 cents with stage length flat at 928 miles; international RASM also rose 0.7% with stage +0.9%. Domestic load factor fell 1.4 points to 79.7%; international load factor declined to 71.7%, the lowest since post-pandemic recovery.

Struktur Tata Letak

Stacked RASM and load-factor line charts with right-hand summary.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Line charts
  • •Domestic vs international labels
  • •Axis breaks
Halaman 19
Data visualization / comparison

Regional revenue mix and unit revenue change

Konten

Action subtitle: FSC unit revenue down in domestic and Atlantic regions. Revenue mix was largely unchanged 2024-2025 (FSC domestic 67.0% to 66.8%, Atlantic 16.9% to 17.1%, Latin 9.8% to 9.4%, Pacific 6.4% to 6.7%; LCC domestic 90.4% to 90.6%; ULCC domestic 92.2% to 92.7%). RASM 2024 to 2025: domestic FSC 18.0 to 17.6 (-2.4%), LCC 14.6 to 14.7, ULCC 10.1 to 10.2; Latin FSC 17.2 to 16.4 (-4.9%), LCC 12.6 to 12.4 (-1.7%), ULCC 8.6 to 8.7; Atlantic FSC 16.6 flat (+0.1%), LCC 13.6 (+0.4%); Pacific FSC 14.6 to 14.9 (+1.5%), LCC 8.9 to 10.4 (+16.9%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Stacked 100% columns by carrier group on top, paired 2024/2025 RASM bars by region below with red/green change labels; summary at right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Stacked percentage columns
  • •Paired bars with arrows
  • •Red/green variance labels
Halaman 20
Data visualization / cost analysis

Unit cost | Full-service carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: 2025 fuel savings offset increases in most other areas, but the joy ride is over. FSC cost per ASM 2024 to 2025: labor 6.3 to 6.5 (+4%), fuel and oil 3.5 to 3.2 (-10%), aircraft maintenance 1.8 to 1.8 (+2%), ownership 0.9 (-7%), transport 2.5 to 2.6 (+4%), all other 2.6 (+3%). Fuel savings cut CASM by 0.3 cents while labor added 0.2 cents.

Struktur Tata Letak

Quarterly cost-line chart over 2022-2025 on top, paired YoY bars for 11 cost categories below, summary at right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Multi-line cost chart
  • •Paired category bars
  • •Percentage change arrows
Halaman 21
Data visualization / cost analysis

Unit cost | Lower-cost carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: rising labor cost could be exposed with rising fuel costs. LCC labor cost per ASM rose from 6.1 to 6.5 cents (+6%) in 2025; fuel and oil fell 3.2 to 2.8 (-10%); non-aircraft depreciation +16%, transport +11%, landing fees +8%; other categories broadly flat.

Struktur Tata Letak

Same template as the FSC unit-cost page: line chart, paired category bars, summary column.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Multi-line cost chart
  • •Paired bars
  • •Variance labels
Halaman 22
Data visualization / cost analysis

Unit cost | Ultra-low-cost carriers

Konten

Action subtitle: rising labor and aircraft costs outpace other groups. ULCC labor per ASM rose 3.0 to 3.3 cents (+10%); fuel fell 2.7 to 2.5 (-9%); aircraft maintenance 0.8 to 1.0 (+14%) and ownership 1.5 to 1.7 (+13%), together about 0.4 cents more; non-aircraft depreciation +25%, food +33%, ads and promo +17%, all other -8%.

Struktur Tata Letak

Line chart of cost categories by quarter, paired YoY bars, summary text.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Multi-line cost chart
  • •Paired category bars
  • •Red/green change labels
Halaman 23
Data visualization / trend

Topline financial results | Long term trend

Konten

Action subtitle: can ULCCs return to profitability without Spirit. Quarterly 2023-2025 lines for operating margin, RASM and CASM by Full Service, LCC, ULCC and Total show full-service carriers consistently earning the highest margin since the pandemic and ULCCs consistently unprofitable, while RASM and CASM stayed consistent by business model (stage-length adjusted to 1,100 miles).

Struktur Tata Letak

Three stacked small-multiple line charts sharing a time axis, legend at bottom, summary at right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Small-multiple line charts
  • •Four-series legend
  • •Zero baseline on margin chart
Halaman 24
Data visualization / composition

Revenue sources

Konten

Action subtitle: FSC increases revenue 5.1% during 2024; LCC up 3.5%; ULCC down 1% YoY. Quarterly revenue-mix columns show FSC quarterly revenue of roughly $36-46B with passenger at 71-75%, transport 16-18%, other 8% and cargo 2%; LCC quarterly revenue of $11-13B with passenger 80-84%; ULCC about $3B per quarter with passenger 58-62% and other 33-39%. Quarter labels on the axes are partly inconsistent in the source.

Struktur Tata Letak

Three rows of 12 stacked percentage columns (one row per carrier group) with total revenue above each bar and a source-type legend.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Stacked percentage columns
  • •Totals above bars
  • •Four-colour legend
Halaman 25
Data visualization / cost composition

Cost drivers

Konten

Action subtitle: increases in labor cost have eroded the historic U/LCC advantage. Quarterly unit cost 2023-2025 in US cents: FSC total around 18.9-20.0 with labor rising from 5.9 to 6.8; LCC total 14.6-16.1 with labor rising from 5.7 to 6.7; ULCC total 10.2-11.9 with labor rising from 2.8 to 3.5 and fuel falling.

Struktur Tata Letak

Three rows of 12 stacked cost columns (labor, fuel, aircraft ownership, maintenance, all other) with totals above.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Stacked cost columns
  • •Total labels
  • •Five-colour legend including gold accents
Halaman 26
Section divider

Section divider: 04 Airline performance by region

Konten

Section break introducing regional performance results.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with two-line serif title and numeral '04'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Large section numeral
Halaman 27
Section divider

Sub-section divider: 04.1 North America

Konten

Sub-section break: North America, overview of regional trends.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with region name, italic subtitle and numeral '04.1'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Sub-section numeral
Halaman 28
Data visualization / financial summary

Industry financial results: North America index

Konten

Action subtitle: margin declines amongst rising costs. North American margin fell 5.2 points from 9.0% to 3.8% on 3.8% capacity growth; revenue +16.3%, operating expense +23.0%, operating profit -51.2%; RASM rose 12.0% from 18.2 to 20.4 cents while CASM rose 18.5% from 16.6 to 19.6 cents.

Struktur Tata Letak

Left bullet summary; right top YoY change column chart (ASM, revenue, expense, profit); right bottom paired Q2 2025/Q2 2026 bars for margin, RASM and CASM with positive/negative impact colours.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •YoY change columns
  • •Paired comparison bars
  • •Positive/negative impact legend
Halaman 29
Data visualization / segment comparison

Financial results by business model: North America index

Konten

Action subtitle: value/LCC carriers had a smaller margin decrease, though FSC margins were more than 5 times higher. Full-service: ASM +4.5%, revenue +15.8%, expense +23.6%, profit -51.5%, margin 10.5% to 4.4% (-6.1 ppt), RASM 19.2 to 21.3 (+10.8%), CASM 17.2 to 20.4 (+18.3%). Value/LCC: ASM +1.3%, revenue +19.0%, expense +20.1%, profit -42.4%, margin 1.8% to 0.8% (-0.9 ppt), RASM 14.4 to 16.9 (+17.4%), CASM 14.1 to 16.7 (+18.5%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Left bullets; right side two horizontal bands (full-service, value/LCC), each with YoY columns and paired margin/RASM/CASM bars.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Two-band small multiples
  • •Paired bars
  • •Impact colour coding
Halaman 30
Data visualization / operational metrics

Production review: North America total industry

Konten

Action subtitle: slight decrease in capacity originating from North America driven largely by decreases in cycles and gauge. Q2 2025 vs Q2 2026: gauge 131 to 130 seats (-0.9%), stage 912 to 908 miles (-0.4%), ASMs 429 to 428 billion (-0.2%), fleet 8,821 to 8,953 (+1.5%), cycles per day 3.3 (-1.1%), flight hours per day 7.3 (+0.1%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Left bullets; right a 2x3 grid of paired bar charts, one per production metric, with coloured change labels.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •2x3 paired-bar grid
  • •Red/green change labels
Halaman 31
Section divider

Sub-section divider: 04.2 Latin America

Konten

Sub-section break: Latin America, overview of regional trends for Central/South America.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with numeral '04.2'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Sub-section numeral
Halaman 32
Data visualization / financial summary

Industry financial results: Latin America index

Konten

Action subtitle: weakest margins across global regions, opposite of the trend in recent quarters. Margin dropped from 15.9% in the previous quarter and from 11.5% a year ago to 2.2% (-9.3 ppt YoY, the largest of any region) despite the highest capacity growth (+5.9%); revenue +21.2%, expense +33.9%, operating profit -76.7%; RASM 12.3 to 14.0 cents (+14.4%) vs CASM 10.9 to 13.7 (+26.4%), likely due to fuel.

Struktur Tata Letak

Standard regional template: bullets left, YoY columns and paired margin/RASM/CASM bars right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •YoY change columns
  • •Paired comparison bars
Halaman 33
Data visualization / segment comparison

Financial results by business model: Latin America index

Konten

Action subtitle: full-service carriers remained profitable, unlike value/LCC carriers, despite large cost increases. FSC: ASM +9.1%, revenue +23.4%, expense +37.8%, profit -55.4%, margin 15.4% to 5.6% (-9.9 ppt), RASM 13.2 to 14.9 (+13.1%), CASM 11.1 to 14.1 (+26.3%). Value/LCC: ASM -2.2%, revenue +13.7%, expense +23.0%, profit -537.9%, margin -1.8% to -10.1% (-8.3 ppt), RASM 9.9 to 11.6 (+16.3%), CASM 10.1 to 12.7 (+25.9%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Two-band business-model comparison with bullets on the left.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Two-band small multiples
  • •Negative-margin bars below baseline
Halaman 34
Data visualization / operational metrics

Production review: Latin America total industry

Konten

Action subtitle: capacity growth driven by fleet growth, despite reduced cycles. ASMs 124 to 127 billion (+2.6%); fleet 1,867 to 1,968 (+5.4%); stage 781 to 790 miles (+1.2%); gauge 150 seats (-0.1%); cycles per day 3.9 to 3.7 (-4.5%); flight hours per day 7.4 to 7.3 (-2.1%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Bullets left; 2x3 grid of paired production bars right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Paired-bar grid
  • •Change labels
Halaman 35
Section divider

Sub-section divider: 04.3 Europe

Konten

Sub-section break: Europe, overview of regional trends.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with numeral '04.3'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Sub-section numeral
Halaman 36
Data visualization / financial summary

Industry financial results: Europe index

Konten

Action subtitle: expense growth outpaced revenue gains, compressing margin by 4.6 ppt YoY. Operating margin fell to 5.7% (chart shows 10.3% in Q2 2025; the bullet text says 10.6%); RASM -0.7% to 18.6 cents vs CASM +4.3% to 17.6 cents; capacity +3.2%, revenue +2.5%, operating expense +7.7%, operating profit -43.1%.

Struktur Tata Letak

Standard regional financial template.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •YoY columns with axis break
  • •Paired comparison bars
Halaman 37
Data visualization / segment comparison

Financial results by business model: Europe index

Konten

Action subtitle: value/LCC retained higher margins despite a steeper decline. Full-service: ASM -0.4%, revenue +6.1%, expense +8.9%, profit -53.7%, margin 4.5% to 1.9% (-2.5 ppt), RASM 20.7 to 22.1 (+6.6%), CASM 19.8 to 21.7 (+9.4%). Value/LCC: ASM +6.2%, revenue -1.3%, expense +6.2%, profit -40.0%, margin 16.3% to 9.9% (-6.4 ppt), RASM 17.1 to 15.9 (-7.1%), CASM 14.3 flat.

Struktur Tata Letak

Two-band business-model comparison with left bullets.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Two-band small multiples
  • •Paired bars
Halaman 38
Data visualization / operational metrics

Production review: Europe total industry

Konten

Action subtitle: capacity growth driven primarily by fleet expansion and increased gauge. ASMs 414 to 420 billion (+1.4%); fleet 7,172 to 7,415 (+3.4%); gauge 168 to 170 (+0.9%); stage 940 to 938 miles (-0.2%); cycles per day 3.7 to 3.5 (-4.8%); flight hours per day 8.6 to 8.2 (-5.5%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Bullets left; 2x3 paired-bar grid right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Paired-bar grid
  • •Change labels
Halaman 39
Section divider

Sub-section divider: 04.4 Asia/Pacific

Konten

Sub-section break: Asia/Pacific, overview of regional trends.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with numeral '04.4'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Sub-section numeral
Halaman 40
Data visualization / financial summary

Industry financial results: Asia/Pacific index

Konten

Action subtitle: margins compressed as cost growth outpaced revenue and capacity. Margin fell 6.3 ppt from 11.3% to 5.1%; CASM +15.0% (17.1 to 19.7 cents) vs RASM +7.4% (19.3 to 20.7); revenue +12.5% and expense +20.4% vs capacity +4.7%; operating profit -49.7%. No business-model split due to limited value/LCC data.

Struktur Tata Letak

Standard regional financial template.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •YoY columns
  • •Paired comparison bars
Halaman 41
Data visualization / operational metrics

Production review: Asia/Pacific total industry

Konten

Action subtitle: overall capacity decline despite considerable increase in fleet size. ASMs 569 to 553 billion (-2.8%); cycles per day 3.5 to 3.2 (-8.2%); flight hours per day 8.2 to 7.6 (-6.8%); fleet 8,611 to 9,041 (+5.0%); stage 868 to 876 miles (+1.0%); gauge 174 to 173 (-0.4%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Bullets left; 2x3 paired-bar grid right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Paired-bar grid
  • •Change labels
Halaman 42
Section divider

Sub-section divider: 04.5 Africa/Middle East & India

Konten

Sub-section break: Africa/Middle East & India, overview of regional trends.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with numeral '04.5'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Sub-section numeral
Halaman 43
Data visualization / financial summary

Industry financial results (annual): Middle East and India index

Konten

Action subtitle: strong operating margin of 20% was a slight decrease versus the prior fiscal year as cost growth outpaced revenue growth. Comparing Q2 2025-Q1 2026 with Q2 2024-Q1 2025: margin 20.9% to 20.1% (-0.8 ppt); ASM +5.0%, revenue +4.8%, expense +5.9%, operating profit +0.9%; RASM 12.9 (-0.2%), CASM 10.2 to 10.3 (+0.8%). Larger ME airlines only report fiscal-year results.

Struktur Tata Letak

Standard regional template with an explanatory note on reporting cadence.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •YoY columns
  • •Paired comparison bars
  • •Methodology note
Halaman 44
Data visualization / segment comparison

Financial results by business model (annual): Middle East and India index

Konten

Action subtitle: double-digit margins across the board, though slightly lower than the prior year. Full-service: ASM +3.3%, revenue +4.9%, expense +5.7%, profit +2.1%, margin 21.9% to 21.3%, RASM 14.3 to 14.5 (+1.5%), CASM 11.2 to 11.4 (+2.3%). Value/LCC: ASM +11.6%, revenue +4.0%, expense +6.9%, profit -14.6%, margin 13.3% to 10.9% (-2.4 ppt), RASM 7.4 to 6.9 (-6.8%), CASM 6.4 to 6.2 (-4.2%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Two-band business-model comparison with left bullets.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Two-band small multiples
  • •Paired bars
Halaman 45
Data visualization / operational metrics

Production review (Q2): IMEA total industry

Konten

Action subtitle: capacity decrease driven by decline in all productivity metrics except fleet growth. IMEA capacity fell 15.5% (ASMs 217 to 183 billion); fleet 3,639 to 3,829 (+5.2%); flight hours per day 8.0 to 6.6 (-17.5%); cycles per day 3.0 to 2.4 (-17.3%); stage 1,067 to 1,018 miles (-4.6%); gauge 173 to 168 (-3.0%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Bullets and a timing note on the left; 2x3 paired-bar grid on the right.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Paired-bar grid
  • •Large red decline labels
Halaman 46
Section divider

Section divider: 05 Appendix

Konten

Section break introducing the appendix.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue divider with numeral '05'.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Large section numeral
Halaman 47
Comparison table

Welcome to the New Airline Economic Analysis Report

Konten

Explains that the AEA is Oliver Wyman's report on the financial state of the airline industry, published annually for about 15 years as a US-focused written report, now moving to a quarterly, global, slideshow-style release. Comparison table: release schedule annual to quarterly; coverage US emphasis to global; scope airline industry and macroeconomics to added granularity with proprietary tools; format written report to slideshow; deep dives retained and spread through the year; special topics released as merited.

Struktur Tata Letak

Left bullets; right prior-vs-new comparison table; pull quote at the bottom pointing to oliverwyman.com.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Before/after feature table
  • •Pull quote with accent bar
Halaman 48
Reference / appendix

Reference and definitions: guide to key figures and assumptions

Konten

Airlines in the global index by region: North America (Air Canada, Alaska, Allegiant, American, Delta, Frontier, JetBlue, Southwest, United); Latin America (Azul, Aeromexico, Copa, LATAM, Volaris); Europe (Air France-KLM, easyJet, Finnair, IAG, Lufthansa, Norwegian, Ryanair, Wizz Air); Africa/Middle East/India (Air Arabia, El Al, IndiGo, Pegasus, Turkish, Emirates, Etihad and Qatar annually); Asia/Pacific (ANA, Cathay Pacific, EVA, JAL, Thai Airways, Vietnam Airlines). Dots mark full-service vs value/LCC.

Struktur Tata Letak

Five-column ruled list with colour-dot carrier-type markers and a bottom pull quote.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Five-column carrier list
  • •Dot legend
  • •Pull quote
Halaman 49
Data table / appendix

Carrier-specific results: North America

Konten

Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025 YoY by airline (ASM, revenue, expense, op. profit, earnings, op. margin ppts, margin ppts, RASM, CASM). Examples: Delta 1%, 19%, 24%, -23%, -25%, -4, -5, 17%, 23%; United 3%, 16%, 24%, -46%, -17%, -6, -2, 13%, 21%; American 5%, 16%, 23%, -61%, -88%, -5, -4, 10%, 17%; Allegiant -6%, 37%, 34%, 73%, 93%, 2, 9, 45%, 42%; JetBlue op. profit -570%; Alaska ASM +27%, RASM -13%.

Struktur Tata Letak

Full-width ruled data table with grouped header.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Nine-column table
  • •Grouped YoY header
Halaman 50
Data table / appendix

Carrier-specific results: Latin America

Konten

YoY table for Aeromexico (ASM 2%, revenue 13%, expense 30%, op. profit -73%, op. margin -13 ppts, CASM 28%), Azul (ASM -11%, op. profit -1187%, margin -58 ppts), Copa (ASM 17%, revenue 26%, expense 45%), LATAM (revenue 27%, expense 39%, RASM 16%, CASM 27%) and Volaris (op. profit -344%, CASM 26%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Full-width ruled data table.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Carrier table
Halaman 51
Data table / appendix

Carrier-specific results: Europe

Konten

YoY table: Air France-KLM (revenue 7%, op. profit -36%), easyJet (revenue -1%, op. profit -66%), Finnair (op. profit +332%, op. margin +6 ppts), IAG (revenue -2%, op. profit -18%, CASM 0%), Lufthansa (op. profit -298%), Norwegian Air Shuttle (op. margin -17 ppts), Ryanair (ASM 7%, RASM -8%), Wizz Air (ASM 22%, op. profit -748%, RASM -16%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Full-width ruled data table.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Carrier table
Halaman 52
Data table / appendix

Carrier-specific results: Africa/Middle East/India

Konten

YoY table: Air Arabia (ASM -25%, op. profit -85%, CASM 49%), El Al (revenue 27%, op. profit 40%, earnings 103%), IndiGo (expense 24%, op. profit -88%, op. margin -12 ppts), Pegasus (op. margin -21 ppts, CASM 37%), Turkish (revenue 20%, expense 40%, op. profit -127%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Full-width ruled data table.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Carrier table
Halaman 53
Data table / appendix

Carrier-specific results: Asia/Pacific

Konten

YoY table: ANA (ASM 6%, op. profit -50%), Cathay Pacific (ASM 10%, revenue 25%, op. profit +11%, earnings +71%), EVA Airways (op. profit -50%, CASM 21%), JAL (revenue -2%, op. profit -78%), Thai Airways (op. margin -15 ppts, CASM 32%), Vietnam Airlines (revenue 36%, expense 57%, CASM 46%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Full-width ruled data table.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Carrier table
Halaman 54
Reference / appendix

Currency conversions to USD - Q2 2026

Konten

Exchange rates used, with change vs Q2 2025: AUD 1.45 (-5%), BRL 5.18 (-5%), CAD 1.42 (4%), CNY 6.79 (-5%), USD per EUR 1.14 (-3%), INR 94.67 (10%), KWD 0.31, MXN 17.49 (-7%), NZD 1.77 (7%), NOK 9.93 (-2%), QAR 3.64, SAR 3.75, SGD 1.29 (1%), KRW 1542 (14%), TWD 31.84 (6%), THB 33.27 (2%), TRY 46.65 (17%), AED 3.67, USD per GBP 1.33 (-3%), VND 26271 (1%).

Struktur Tata Letak

Four-column ruled reference table.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Currency table
Halaman 55
Contact / credits

About Oliver Wyman, authors and disclaimer

Konten

Firm description (Oliver Wyman, a Marsh business; Marsh advises clients in 130 countries with $27 billion annual revenue and 95,000+ colleagues), regional phone numbers, authors Tom Stalnaker (Global Head of Transportation and Advanced Industrials), Khalid Usman, Grant Alport, Scott Laurence (Partners), Aaron Taylor (Senior Manager), Andrew Buchanan (Vice President), contributor Kuba Lipowski, plus copyright 2026 and a legal disclaimer.

Struktur Tata Letak

Dense text page with three-column author grid and full-width disclaimer.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Author grid
  • •Regional contact line
  • •Legal text
Halaman 56
Closing slide

Back cover

Konten

Closing page with the Oliver Wyman, A Marsh Business logo; no other text.

Struktur Tata Letak

Light-blue full-bleed page with logo left-centre.

Elemen Visual Utama

  • •Logo

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Pertanyaan umum tentang slide ini dan konten presentasi yang mendasarinya.

What is the Oliver Wyman Airline Economic Analysis Q2 2026?

It is a 56-page published report deck from Oliver Wyman (a Marsh business) that reviews second-quarter 2026 airline financial results. It covers a global index of carriers, macro indicators and fuel, a special US Carrier Annual Financial Review of 2025, results for five regions, and appendix tables for each carrier.

What are the key findings of the Q2 2026 report?

The global index earned a 4.1% operating margin, down 6.0 points YoY, as expenses rose 19.1% against 11.7% revenue growth on 3.3% more capacity. Jet fuel averaged $3.04 per gallon versus $2.09 a year earlier (+45%), pushing CASM up 15.4% versus 8.2% RASM growth. Latin America had the weakest margin (2.2%, down 9.3 points) and Europe the highest (about 5.7%). IMEA capacity fell 15.5% as Middle East conflict disrupted Gulf hubs.

Who publishes the Airline Economic Analysis and how often?

Oliver Wyman's transportation practice publishes it. The authors include Tom Stalnaker, Khalid Usman, Grant Alport, Scott Laurence, Aaron Taylor and Andrew Buchanan. It was an annual, US-focused written report for about 15 years and is now a quarterly, global, slideshow-style release published on oliverwyman.com.

What does the US Carrier Annual Financial Review section show?

Using DOT Form 41 data for 2025, it shows full-service carriers leading profitability (Delta 9%, United 8%, American 2.8% margins), FSC revenue of $177.3B (+2.4%), LCC revenue of $51.3B with ancillary revenue up 18.2%, and ULCC revenue down 8.3% to $11.2B as Spirit struggled. It also shows lower-cost carriers losing their labor-cost advantage, with FSC and LCC labor both at 6.5 cents per ASM.

Why is this deck a good example of consulting slide design?

Every content slide pairs a descriptive title with an italic action subtitle that states the takeaway, such as 'CASM growth outpaced RASM growth across all regions'. A left-hand bullet summary supports the charts on the right, and every chart is sourced. Each region repeats the same three-page module (financial results, business model, production review), and there are KPI tiles in the executive summary, numbered section dividers and appendix tables. Together these make it a useful model for chart-heavy business reviews.

Which chart types does the report use?

World maps with margin callouts, horizontal and clustered bar charts, bubble charts that plot unit revenue and cost against capacity, a fuel-price line chart, stacked area and stacked percentage columns for revenue mix, stacked cost-driver columns, paired before/after bars with green and red impact labels, and full-width carrier data tables.

How can I make a similar consulting-style report deck?

Start from your own analysis document or outline. 2Slides can turn a document, report or outline into a slide deck, and you can then apply the same structure: an executive summary with KPI tiles, action titles, a repeated section module and an appendix. Keep one message per slide and put the takeaway in the subtitle.

Where can I find the original Oliver Wyman report?

The original PDF is published by Oliver Wyman at https://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/v3/airline-economic-analysis-q2-2026.pdf. Oliver Wyman retains copyright, and the report says it may not be reproduced or redistributed without the firm's written permission.

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